Bullish on gold
The price of gold has risen amid geopolitical tensions and buying by central banks, decoupling from traditional indicators such as TIPS and ETFs.
Author: Ryk de Klerk
Why I have turned bullish on South African assets
A comparison of current market behaviour with the pivotal 1994 election period points to the potential for a rally in the rand and financial shares.
Why I opt for BHP rather than Anglo
An analysis of the consolidated value of Anglo’s mining production compared to its share price indicates that BHP’s valuation is justified.
Magnificent Seven: opportunities arise from divergent performance
With economic factors such as inflation and central bank actions looming large, the outlook for technology stocks remains uncertain.
SA stocks and long-term government bonds are cheap, but not excessively so
How foreign investors and rating agencies view the outcome of the general election will affect the direction of bond yields and equity prices.
Bitcoin’s price discovery justifies a core holding
The primary supply of Bitcoin is running dry, and the secondary supply is limited.
Ignore R&D-driven growth stocks at your peril
The thrust behind the re-rating of growth stocks since 2010 was technological advancements and innovation through research and development.
Anglo stock investment cycle: time to stay or time to go?
Ryk de Klerk delves into commodity trends, market divergence, and strategic insights, giving a comprehensive analysis of Anglo-American PLC in the current economic landscape.
Outlook for 2024: new transitional phase will boost risk assets
The asset classes that performed best in the recessionary cycle are unlikely to repeat their superior performance in the transition to the initial stages of accelerated growth.
New investment up-cycle: risk-on strategies to last to the end of 2024
The behaviour of the US equity market over the next quarter or so will baffle many investors and financial advisers, as it will appear to be disconnected from the US economy.
China to rise again – prefer indirect exposure through Richemont and LVMH
Infrastructure spending should be good for business and consumer confidence, leading to a rise in the China Non-manufacturing PMI and a re-rating of luxury goods stocks.
Looming global confidence crisis: re-affirm your risk budget
Trends observed during four recent geopolitical events sheds light on how the Israel-Hamas War will impact economies, financial markets, and central banks.
Global debt crisis looming? Significant fallout if it’s not contained
The government should realise that the days of debt-financed spending sprees and extravagance are over, particularly in the run-up to next year’s election.
Bear market in VIX is over – investors are staring down the barrel
Investors are buying more put options than call options, which is driving up market volatility.
Why I’ve increased the duration of my interest-bearing investments
The yields on three-to-five-year US and SA bonds are offering exceptional opportunities from a risk/return point of view.
Why I currently favour tangible assets over financial assets
The upside risks to industrial commodity prices are gathering momentum.
Interest rates: the Sarb will not bow to political pressure
A 200 basis point cut in the repo rate will lead to the rand plunging by between 12% and 15%, putting upward pressure on inflation through more expensive imports.
