SARB revises near-term inflation higher, shifts rate bias amid oil shock
Baseline inflation is seen peaking at 4% in Q2, with scenario analysis pointing to possible rate hikes if second-round effects emerge.
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SARB signals the repo rate may not be cut until 2025
The markets are pricing for a rate reduction next year, and headline inflation is expected to return to the midpoint of the target band only in the last quarter of 2025.
