
The rising cost of money
South Africa’s debt outlook is improving, according to the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement. But what could higher borrowing costs globally mean for local households, businesses and the public purse?

South Africa’s debt outlook is improving, according to the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement. But what could higher borrowing costs globally mean for local households, businesses and the public purse?

SARB economist Thuli Radebe explains how targeting lower inflation could ease borrowing costs and support growth – challenging fears that a 3% goal means more interest rate hikes.

National Treasury forecasts a narrowing deficit, from 4.8% of GDP in 2025/26 to 3.8% in 2026/27. Fitch, however, projects larger deficits of 5.1% and 4.5% respectively.

Instead of hiking VAT, the government could fix its tax collection problems, improve state resource management, and stimulate the economy to boost revenue.

With South Africa’s debt-to-GDP ratio at 75.1%, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana faces a tough balancing act – can his Budget Speech reassure investors and spark economic growth?