
‘At least one’ rate hike likely if inflation worsens
Fuel-price shocks, sticky services inflation, and global pressures are making it harder for the SARB to keep inflation anchored near its new goal, says Sanlam.

Fuel-price shocks, sticky services inflation, and global pressures are making it harder for the SARB to keep inflation anchored near its new goal, says Sanlam.

Markets have been under sustained pressure from conflict, tighter financial conditions, and liquidity strains. Ryk de Klerk argues this risk-off phase may be reaching its limits, even as volatility remains high.

Reduced available mine supply and massive ETF flows have driven a parabolic gold rally that is pushing the asset beyond traditional defensive risk/reward thresholds.

The price of gold has risen amid geopolitical tensions and buying by central banks, decoupling from traditional indicators such as TIPS and ETFs.