
US bonds: Follow the money
Asset managers have increased their US Treasury exposure since September, but the outlook for bond yields and equity valuations remains tied to interest rates and AI spending.

Asset managers have increased their US Treasury exposure since September, but the outlook for bond yields and equity valuations remains tied to interest rates and AI spending.

Rising bond yields and widening credit spreads suggest mounting risk, but equity valuations have yet to reflect it, raising the prospect of sharper market drawdowns.

US equities may reflect current economic conditions, but weaker-than-expected earnings growth and worsening geopolitical tensions could quickly upset the balance.

Despite headwinds from weaker Asian demand, rising yields, and risk-on sentiment, shifting market dynamics suggest gold is regaining value.

The Morningstar Barometer shows where active management adds value and where low-cost passive strategies hold the upper hand.