
The investment cycle: Mid-cycle pause with high forecast risk
US equities may reflect current economic conditions, but weaker-than-expected earnings growth and worsening geopolitical tensions could quickly upset the balance.

US equities may reflect current economic conditions, but weaker-than-expected earnings growth and worsening geopolitical tensions could quickly upset the balance.

As markets sputter between euphoria and panic, Ryk de Klerk argues that the true driver of volatility is the underlying health of the US economy.

Old Mutual Wealth’s Izak Odendaal believes the only two risks that should concern investors are the US economy going into a recession and the Fed hiking interest rates.

During his first term, Donald Trump’s policies spurred a confidence-fuelled boom in US markets. With proposals for deeper tax cuts and renewed trade barriers, he’s aiming for a repeat performance.

The formation of the GNU sparked a rally in local financial markets. But as storm clouds gather on global equity markets, the long-term outlook remains uncertain.