The investment cycle: Mid-cycle pause with high forecast risk
US equities may reflect current economic conditions, but weaker-than-expected earnings growth and worsening geopolitical tensions could quickly upset the balance.
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Tariffs & markets | Why I’m increasing my risk budget
Market movements since Donald Trump’s inauguration are drawing comparisons with the 2018/19 trade war. With a 10% loss already, another 10% dip could be on the horizon if the economic fallout worsens.
