
A ‘new’ world order that looks a lot like the old one
For investors, geopolitics is no longer background noise. It is a core driver of supply chains, inflation, and sovereign risk premia, says Momentum’s Sanisha Packirisamy.

For investors, geopolitics is no longer background noise. It is a core driver of supply chains, inflation, and sovereign risk premia, says Momentum’s Sanisha Packirisamy.

A tighter, more disciplined Budget channels spending into social support and infrastructure while cutting waste to avoid tax hikes.

South Africa’s relatively high-risk score reflects governance, security, and structural weaknesses, while its moderate resilience suggests the potential to recover – if reforms are pursued.

Governor Kganyago signals target reform ‘as soon as is practical’ while policymakers pause cuts.

Stable growth and fiscal discipline could see South Africa’s credit rating rise two notches in the next three years.

Old Mutual Wealth’s Izak Odendaal believes the only two risks that should concern investors are the US economy going into a recession and the Fed hiking interest rates.

The Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement reveals a budget surplus and reduced wage bill, but it warns of ongoing financial pressures due to modest economic growth projections.

Despite economic challenges, 81% of SMEs expect business growth in the next year, with confidence in the political landscape boosting optimism.