Why I am shy of the copper market and base metals
Traders left holding the world’s priciest copper could struggle to offload the metal if premiums erode – potentially triggering a broader base metals slump.
Author: Ryk de Klerk
Taking funds offshore is the best and right thing for me to do
The main reasons are the growing threat of populist policies and ensuring that children and grandchildren can study overseas, so they can compete for jobs globally.
I prefer US government bonds ahead of corporate bonds
A portfolio split of 60% US Treasuries and 40% investment-grade corporate bonds emerges as the efficient frontier.
My mid-year outlook: US economy is the catalyst for volatility
As markets sputter between euphoria and panic, Ryk de Klerk argues that the true driver of volatility is the underlying health of the US economy.
Bitcoin adoption: increasingly part of my investment portfolio
Net cumulative purchases via pure Bitcoin ETFs have surged 2.5-fold since mid-March. This influx underscores growing institutional conviction in Bitcoin as a core portfolio allocation.
US dollar: what crisis?
From a peak 13% overvaluation versus major peers heading into January, the US dollar has plunged 7% on a trade-weighted basis in three months – a pace more than twice as fast as during Trump’s first term.
Risk ON: Why I turned bullish on stocks
Investors witnessed a sharp correction in major stock indexes after Trump imposed tariffs. An analysis of the S&P 500 PE trendline notes the re-rating potential of growth sectors that have slid into value territory.
The rand: more than meets the eye
Ahead of South Africa’s election, foreign asset managers increased their exposure as the 10-year bond yield gap reached 8%. Recent fluctuations, driven by speculative futures and options trading underscore the complex forces at play behind the rand’s performance.
Tariffs & markets | Why I’m increasing my risk budget
Market movements since Donald Trump’s inauguration are drawing comparisons with the 2018/19 trade war. With a 10% loss already, another 10% dip could be on the horizon if the economic fallout worsens.
US bonds: when a dead asset comes alive
With the risk premium of bonds relative to equities at a 20-year low, US bonds – particularly medium-term ones – are regaining their relevance in diversified investment portfolios.
Why I am overweight in US assets
The US economy continues to surge ahead, driven by AI investments, resilient corporate growth, and strategic monetary policy.
How to navigate anxiety in the approaching US tariffs tug of war
Donald Trump’s tariff threats shook global markets in 2018 and 2019, leaving investors grappling with volatility and uncertainty. Here are the lessons for investors as an unpredictable economic climate looms.
Trump’s economics: consumer confidence is the golden thread
During his first term, Donald Trump’s policies spurred a confidence-fuelled boom in US markets. With proposals for deeper tax cuts and renewed trade barriers, he’s aiming for a repeat performance.
SA credit rating upgrade is on the cards – not investment grade yet
The rating upgrade is likely to have profound implications for investment portfolios.
Beware the payback trap of the 60/40 portfolio
In investing, one key factor is often overlooked: the payback period. Understanding duration can reshape your portfolio strategy and help you manage risk more effectively.
The China bazooka stimulus: risk assets melt up?
Interest rate cuts, infrastructure bonds, and a revitalised stock market – China’s new stimulus package is poised to impact global investment strategies.
Tobacco companies: outperforming but now only fairly priced
In a market facing economic challenges, Altria and BAT have outperformed major indexes. Ryk de Klerk explores the pricing of tobacco shares, risk premiums, and the factors driving their resilience.
