
SARB clarifies 3% inflation target as policy shifts draw mixed reactions
The MPC’s first rate cut in months underscores the SARB’s view that a lower target can support a gradual easing cycle.

The MPC’s first rate cut in months underscores the SARB’s view that a lower target can support a gradual easing cycle.

The Reserve Bank’s repo rate cut by 25bps to 7% signals the start of a more accommodative cycle as inflation remains firmly under control.

SARB economist Thuli Radebe explains how targeting lower inflation could ease borrowing costs and support growth – challenging fears that a 3% goal means more interest rate hikes.

Governor Lesetja Kganyago says the central bank will remain committed to reining in inflation if a new government spends more and the deficit increases.

Headline inflation softened to 5.2% in April, but the upside risks remain, particularly from food prices.

The markets are pricing for a rate reduction next year, and headline inflation is expected to return to the midpoint of the target band only in the last quarter of 2025.

The drier El Niño weather pattern is emerging as one of the biggest risks to the outlook for food inflation.